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Will this be a Dangerous Storm Season 2023?
3rd Year in an El Nina might be heading toward neutral
The El Nino and El Nina history graph: https://ggweather.com/enso/oni.htm

El Nino
El Nina
Near Record Warm January 2023
January 27 2023 Snow Squall
Brief Moderate/Heavy snow


February 2-4 2023 Weather?


February 9 2023 Odd Weather


Stevensville Michigan got 1.40" of rain which caused localized flooding
Stevensville had Temps Between 51-55F



Funnel Cloud
February 21-23 2023 Wind/Rain/Ice Storm
Stevensville Michigan got 1.10-1.30" of rain which caused localized flooding
Ice Storm in Southern Michigan causing power outages
Close to Record Low Ice Cover on the Great Lakes





Illinois, Wisconsin and Michigan Significant Ice storm. It brought Ice accumulation totals from between a Glaze of ice all the way up to 0.78" of ice. From all the ice that was accumulating caused power lines to comedown. In Paw Paw Michigan a Fire Fighter died from a power line falling on him from the storm. Ice Storms are deadly because roads become impossible to drive, trees and power lines fall.




Source: https://www.hurricanetrack.com
Switched over to El Niño the first one since January 2020
March 26 2023
Quarter size hail and rotation on Lake Michigan, the storm couldn't drop a thunderstorm based waterspout because the water temps were around 36F




Syilagyi Waterspout Nomogram
March 31-April 1 2023
Major Severe Weather Outbreak, 65-75 Million people at risk for severe weather.
Major Tornadoes, Hail and Damaging Winds





Supercell over Lake Michigan


The storms had Pea to .75" hail in the area and 40-55 mph wind gusts
South of this area had Golf Ball size hail and 60+ mph wind gusts


6:30pm

9:30pm
One of the biggest severe weather outbreaks ever recorded for March

Source: Weather.com

Top 3 for the most tornadoes ever recorded in 24 hours
132 Tornadoes in 24 hours
147 Tornadoes, 200+ Tornado Reports

April 20 2023
Severe Weather outbreak a decent amount of Thundershowers and Thunderstorms, bringing gusts over 50 mph and small hail
extremely fast movement, Unknown mph wind gusts


8:30-9:30pm Heavy rain and 40-50 mph wind gusts
Stevensville Michigan, Amazing Sunset






Videos from the Bluff
Videos of the storm coming in
April 30-May 3 2023
The Cold Core Storm System had 20-30 mph wind 40+ mph gusts




8-14ft Waves Between May 1-3 2023


May 16-21 2023
Pneumonia Front and Wildfire Smoke




May 21 2023
June 3-6 2023
SW Michigan Sunset from Eastern Canada Wildfire Smoke



Low Pressure System June 11-13 2023
5-8 Foot Waves, 20-30 mph wind
0.40-1.25" of rain

Moderate-Severe Drought June 15- July 28 2023

Rounds of Wildfire Smoke June 8-15 2023


June 25-28 2023 Windstorm, Severe Weather Wildfire Smoke








Smoke Blocking the sun

June 28 2023 Dim Red Sun

Unhealthy to Very Unhealthy Air Quality

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Unhealthy to Very Unhealthy
July 12 2023 Tornadic Waterspouts, Heavy Rain and Wind



30-60 mph Wind Gusts and On/Off Rotation
8:20-9:04pm Tornadic Waterspouts

Massive Wall Cloud and Tornadic Waterspouts

Massive Wall Cloud

Stovepipe, Multiple Vortex and Rope Waterspout


Path / Speed Of Large Tornadic Waterspout

Storm Pictures: Rotation, Wall Cloud, Eye and More





Rope Waterspout & Wall Cloud

Multiple-Vortex Waterspout Size

July 28-29 2023 Heavy Rain, Wind and Flooding

July 28 2023 Morning Storms, 1-2" of rain and 50+ mph gusts


July 28 2023 Evening Storms 6"+ of rain and 60+ mph gusts




Flooding after the 8"+ of rain in 72 hours


August 14-15 2023, Nearly a 100 Year Storm
50-75+ mph wind gusts, Possible Spin Up Tornado



4:10-4:50pm Heavy Rain, Lightning and Rotating Storm

8:08pm Calm Before the Storm

9:50-10:00pm 50-70+ mph gusts and Possible Tornado
Stevensville/Shoreman Michigan area



The strong wind caused a lot of people to lose power in Berrien County

Also dropped a incredible amount of rain

Storm brought down a good amount of trees



October 6-12 2023, Rain & Wind Storm
45-50 mph wind gusts and 10-12ft waves, Record Breaking Lake Erie Waterspout Outbreak



October 20 2023, 7-8+ft Waves Hitting Berrien County



October 31-November 1 2023 Halloween Storm
40 mph wind gusts and 8-14ft waves
Waterspout Outbreak on Lake Michigan
T-12" of Ice & Snow in Western Michigan

Calm Before the Storm

During the Storm


November 1 2023 After the Storm SW Michigan








November 25-29 Winter Storm Cait (First Pier Ice 2023/24)



Calm December 1-17 2023 Warm & Dry

December 18 2023 Powerful Storm

Calm Before the Storm

Storm coming in

During the Powerful Storm



2023 Review
It was one crazy year for storms on top of the most smoke I've seen in SW Michigan

December 15 2023 ~12:50am Unknown Object

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